The 6th of February was a sad day for us, as it was our last fully automated Substack post before Substack made changes that blocked our bot. In that last post we signaled, for free, the 100% bearish position our bots had on AAPL.
I wonder what happened since then?
The macro answer is… The S&P tech bubble burst, tariffs arrived and AI moved East. So… how did the bots do in all that?
When we went offline from Susbtack, the trade systems disconnected from generating posts, but the trade system was still live and kept on publishing the intended positions. We had a 1.21 out performance ratio at a 0.71 relative risk rate, meaning we out performed buy and hold by 21% and did so with 29% less volatility.
The current trade performance of the system is like this:
It is not perfect, it clearly attempted to trade a bounce and missed. It also got the main short right. It’s gained 19% against the asset, has held value against some tough markets and has maintained the same volatility ratio. Leveraged like for like risk, you can take 30% more aggressive betsizing for the same volatility.
We understand that the loss of automated reporting on Substack is a problem, we will create a solution as soon as time permits. In the meantime, we hope you appreciate this update on the fully automated AI trading system which has been quietly ticking away all this time.
Best of luck in all things!
Vulpus